Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004485 0.004931 0.005412 0.005971 0.006603 0.007299 0.008126
2025-08-17 0.003771 0.004393 0.005113 0.006016 0.007127 0.008462 0.010206
2025-08-24 0.003317 0.004008 0.004848 0.005955 0.007396 0.009238 0.011814
2025-08-31 0.002940 0.003652 0.004548 0.005778 0.007452 0.009699 0.013025
2025-09-07 0.002707 0.003444 0.004401 0.005761 0.007690 0.010397 0.014623
2025-09-14 0.002584 0.003364 0.004406 0.005937 0.008195 0.011510 0.016971
2025-09-21 0.002389 0.003164 0.004226 0.005828 0.008265 0.011979 0.018375
2025-09-28 0.002220 0.002987 0.004059 0.005716 0.008311 0.012402 0.019748
2025-10-05 0.002102 0.002872 0.003970 0.005709 0.008510 0.013080 0.021649
2025-10-12 0.002029 0.002815 0.003959 0.005815 0.008895 0.014104 0.024329
2025-10-19 0.001917 0.002693 0.003841 0.005740 0.008972 0.014599 0.026084
2025-10-26 0.001832 0.002604 0.003766 0.005727 0.009146 0.015284 0.028320
2025-11-02 0.001736 0.002497 0.003661 0.005664 0.009242 0.015865 0.030521
2025-11-09 0.001669 0.002433 0.003620 0.005706 0.009534 0.016863 0.033849
2025-11-16 0.001589 0.002340 0.003526 0.005648 0.009633 0.017492 0.036465
2025-11-23 0.001494 0.002220 0.003379 0.005483 0.009510 0.017647 0.037978
2025-11-30 0.001435 0.002154 0.003318 0.005467 0.009674 0.018426 0.041221
2025-12-07 0.001413 0.002147 0.003354 0.005632 0.010212 0.020093 0.047212
2025-12-14 0.001347 0.002062 0.003253 0.005529 0.010193 0.020502 0.049835
2025-12-21 0.001285 0.001982 0.003154 0.005425 0.010158 0.020870 0.052434
2025-12-28 0.001242 0.001933 0.003107 0.005418 0.010331 0.021757 0.056852
2026-01-04 0.001219 0.001915 0.003115 0.005517 0.010746 0.023307 0.063854
2026-01-11 0.001172 0.001854 0.003042 0.005448 0.010775 0.023877 0.067759